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Predicting the No. 1 Song of the Summer by July 4

by golfinger007
7th July 2021
in Music
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On the latest list, “Butter” remains at number 1, followed by Olivia Rodrigo’s “Good 4 U” and Dua Lipa’s “Levitating” with DaBaby, also at number 2 and 3. Doja Cats “Kiss Me More” with SZA rises 5- 4 and swaps places with Justin Bieber’s “Peaches” with Daniel Caesar and Giveon (4-5).

Since the latest Songs of the Summer charts mark the first of 2021, dated after July 4th, how many times does the poll # 1 title win the season’s contest by that point?

Let’s look back on the last 10 years.

No. 1 to July 4th & possibly No. 1 for the season:
2012, “Maybe Call Me,” Carly Rae Jepsen
2013, “Blurred Lines”, Robin Thicke feat. TI + Pharrell
2014, “Fancy”, Iggy Azalea feat. Charli XCX
2016, “One Dance”, Drake feat. WizKid & Kyla
2017, “Despacito”, Luis Fonsi & Daddy Yankee feat. Justin Bieber
2019, “Old Town Road”, Lil Nas X feat. Billy Ray Cyrus
2020, “Rockstar”, DaBaby feat. Roddy Rich

# 1 through July 4th, but not the final # 1 of the season:
2011, “Rolling in the Deep”, Adele / Eventual No. 1: “Party Rock Anthem”, LMFAO feat. Lauren Bennett & GoonRock
2015, “See you again”, Wiz Khalifa feat. Charlie Puth / Eventual No. 1: “Cheerleaders”, OMI
2018, “Nice for What”, Drake / Eventual No. 1: “In My Feelings”, also by Drake

Seven of the last 10 # 1s on the Songs of the Summer charts at the end of the season were at the top of the weekly poll on July 4th. Will BTS “butter” continue to skew the statistics towards the majority? Despite such a clear breakdown, it’s hard to predict a single year as any weekly chart may be just a frame away from welcoming a new hit, while stormy hits have already been released that could accumulate enough chart points to hit the Tip to land labor day.

Keep checking Billboard.com for the latest information on the Songs of summer Charts as well as the top 10 summer songs every year in the history of the Hot 100 (since it started in 1958).



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